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March 08, 2004
Let's Play Spin the Tail On the Donkey
Let's say the American public not only supports the troops but will come to also finally decide that Bush is good for American security. In other words, let's - for the purpose of this post - say the American people give him the nod on that one (If they can overlook the idea that Bush is tough on security, but doesn't want to sit down and talk to the 9-11 Commission for whatever reason).
I think, despite the talking heads, a larger and larger number of people do NOT think George W. Bush is a likeable person. They see his people - if it's not coming out of his mouth Americans are smart enough to realize it's nevertheless coming from him - striking out desperately at anything for anything other than "we did good in Iraq."
There's a difference between changing the country and throwing bucketloads of shit at the wall to see which ideas stick. Or in other words, the country is tired of playing spin the tail on the donkey.
So far, Democrats are resonating with what a good chunk of the American people are feeling.
In this USATODAY /CNN /GALLUP poll Kerry leads Bush by eight points.
There's only so long people can tell themselves, "It's early in the campaign, polls mean nothing."
This is the first poll that no longer pits "unnamed Democrat" against Bush. It pits Kerry and no other against George Bush Junior.
... Overall, 57% say he has the personality and leadership qualities a president should have, down from 66% in mid-January. Kerry got a 57% rating on personality and leadership, too. ...Ouch.
Oliverwillis.com also posts this link (via Political Wire) to the Zogby analysis of the electoral college.
I've been doing my own (very) amateur calculations and I've been seeing a lot more swing states than people are imagining. And in every realistic scenario I pick - barring one that sees Bush take Ohio and Florida and Pennsylvania - the Democrat, now Kerry, comes out with about 70 more electoral votes.
This guy at ElectionProjection has the electoral votes panned out across all states, based on released polls - and thinks Kerry is ahead with 291 votes. (Don't know his credentials, but I think he's a Republican, based on his "21 Reasons Why Bush Will Win" essay).
Then you also have this LAME attempt at Bush attacking Kerry for being soft on defense. A lot of Republicans believe this, perhaps a few Dems. But Bush attacked an idea that never even made it to the Senate floor - more than 10 years ago. Wow, that is r-e-a-c-h-i-n-g.
Bush, during a fund-raiser in Dallas, called attention to a 1995 bill that Kerry sponsored to trim intelligence spending by $1.5 billion over five years. The cut was part of what Kerry called a "budget-buster bill" to strip $90 billion from the budget and end 40 programs that he said were "pointless, wasteful, antiquated or just plain silly."
Then just like his MLK event, there's this, which despite Bush's $130-million-means IS NOT saving taxpayer's money (from same story):
In between the money events, Bush was to stop by the popular Houston Livestock Show and Rodeo to meet with cowboy champions and peruse the cattle on display. Despite the political benefits of Bush's attendance - it offered a more colorful photo opportunity than the two fund-raisers and allowed him to appeal to the sport's mostly white male fans - the White House considered it an official event. That means taxpayers will foot the bill for at least part of the trip.
The country is paying attention now and it's already tired of being spun.